Kaspiyvs
Kairat Almaty
COMPLETEDKazakhstan · Premier League · 9/5/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kairat Almaty · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Kaspiy 0-1 Kairat Almaty, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Kaspiy 0-3 Kairat Almaty
Original prediction
Kairat Almaty
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 6.53 | 13.9% | 16.3% | 2.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.22 | 21.5% | 23.6% | 2.1 pts |
| Away | 1.41 | 64.6% | 60.1% | -4.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.41 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.5 pts
Projected Score
Kaspiy 0–1 Kairat Almaty
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Kairat Almaty
Probability
60.1%
Model confidence
60.1%
Kairat Almaty has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
KaspiyWDDLW
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Kairat AlmatyWLLWL
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
KaspiyKairat Almaty
36.2Attack66.7
55.1Defence77.3
37.7Form77.3
45.7Power74.1
0.54xG1.79