Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Kaspiy are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Irtysh are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Kaspiy hold a 2.7-point power-rating edge (43.9 v 41.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.5% in the Premier League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
38.5%
Model confidence
38.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40