GGOALVIO

Kazakhstan · Premier League · 3/10/2023, 8:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Kaspiy are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while FK Tobol Kostanay are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 43.9 against 43.8. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.2% in the Premier League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

38.2%

Model confidence

38.2%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

KaspiyLDWLL

GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
FK Tobol KostanayWLWWL

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
KaspiyFK Tobol Kostanay
34.9Attack35.0
54.0Defence53.3
34.9Form36.7
43.9Power43.8
1.04xG0.88
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