Kaspiyvs
FK Tobol Kostanay
COMPLETEDKazakhstan · Premier League · 8/30/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FK Tobol Kostanay · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 1-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kaspiy 1-0 FK Tobol Kostanay
Original prediction
FK Tobol Kostanay
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.36 | 26.9% | 34.3% | 7.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.50 | 25.8% | 27.3% | 1.5 pts |
| Away | 1.91 | 47.3% | 38.4% | -8.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.1–012%
Predicted outcome
FK Tobol Kostanay
Probability
38.4%
Model confidence
38.4%
FK Tobol Kostanay has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80