Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Astana · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Kaspiy are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while FC Astana are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Astana hold an 18.0-point power-rating edge (43.9 v 61.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.5% in the Premier League, while FC Astana holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FC Astana
Probability
50.5%
Model confidence
50.5%
FC Astana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40