Kaspij Aktau 2vs
Shakhter Karagandy
COMPLETEDKazakhstan · 1. Division · 5/7/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Shakhter Karagandy · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-3
Kaspij Aktau 2 are 0W-3D-1L in their last 4 (DLDD), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.75 conceded, while Shakhter Karagandy are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 9 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Shakhter Karagandy hold a 42.2-point power-rating edge (45.5 v 87.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 78.3% in the 1. Division, while Shakhter Karagandy holds the strongest overall chance at 78% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Shakhter Karagandy
Probability
78.3%
Model confidence
78.3%
Shakhter Karagandy has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.50/1.75
GF 15 · GA 3 · avg 3.00/0.60