GGOALVIO

Kazakhstan · 1. Division · 8/27/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Akademiya Ontustik · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Kaspij Aktau 2 are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Akademiya Ontustik are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Akademiya Ontustik hold a 13.5-point power-rating edge (43.5 v 57.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.1% in the 1. Division, while Akademiya Ontustik holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Akademiya Ontustik

Probability

47.4%

Model confidence

11.1%

Akademiya Ontustik has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Kaspij Aktau 2LWWLW

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Akademiya OntustikWLWWL

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Kaspij Aktau 2Akademiya Ontustik
49.0Attack54.9
41.2Defence54.9
41.2Form56.9
43.5Power57.0
1.40xG1.88
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