Kasımpaşavs
Samsunspor
COMPLETEDTurkey · Süper Lig · 10/18/2026, 10:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kasımpaşa · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (13%), 2-0 (13%), 1-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kasımpaşa 4-1 Samsunspor
Original prediction
Kasımpaşa
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 18 September 2026 at 00:29 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.39 | 39.0% | 55.3% | 16.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.30 | 28.3% | 23.9% | -4.4 pts |
| Away | 2.85 | 32.7% | 20.8% | -11.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.39 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
16.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–013%
- 2.2–013%
- 3.1–111%
Predicted outcome
Kasımpaşa
Probability
55.3%
Model confidence
55.3%
Kasımpaşa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 1 · GA 12 · avg 0.20/2.40