Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kasımpaşa · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (13%), 1-1 (12%), 2-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kasımpaşa 0-0 Konyaspor
Original prediction
Kasımpaşa
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.43 | 38.5% | 50.3% | 11.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.13 | 29.8% | 26.1% | -3.7 pts |
| Away | 2.95 | 31.7% | 23.6% | -8.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.13 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–013%
- 2.1–112%
- 3.2–012%
Predicted outcome
Kasımpaşa
Probability
50.3%
Model confidence
50.3%
Kasımpaşa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
KasımpaşaWDDWD
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
KonyasporWLLLL
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
KasımpaşaKonyaspor
46.7Attack26.7
66.7Defence46.7
60.0Form20.0
61.4Power34.4
1.70xG0.78