Kashiwa Reysolvs
Yokohama F. Marinos
COMPLETEDJapan · J1 League · 9/6/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kashiwa Reysol · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kashiwa Reysol 0-2 Yokohama F. Marinos
Original prediction
Kashiwa Reysol
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:23 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.69 | 55.5% | 52.5% | -3.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.77 | 24.8% | 24.1% | -0.7 pts |
| Away | 4.76 | 19.7% | 23.4% | 3.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Kashiwa Reysol
Probability
52.5%
Model confidence
52.5%
Kashiwa Reysol has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80