GGOALVIO

Japan · J1 League · 4/5/2026, 5:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kashiwa Reysol · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Kashiwa Reysol are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Yokohama F. Marinos are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Kashiwa Reysol hold a 33.5-point power-rating edge (86.5 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.1% in the J1 League, while Kashiwa Reysol holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Kashiwa Reysol

Probability

55.4%

Model confidence

11.1%

Kashiwa Reysol has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Kashiwa ReysolWDLLW

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Yokohama F. MarinosWLWLW

GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Kashiwa ReysolYokohama F. Marinos
83.3Attack66.7
66.7Defence33.3
100.0Form50.0
86.5Power53.0
1.99xG1.14
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