Kashiwa Reysolvs
Vissel Kobe
COMPLETEDJapan · J1 League · 10/9/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vissel Kobe · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (9%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kashiwa Reysol 4-2 Vissel Kobe
Original prediction
Vissel Kobe
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 01:42 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.36 | 39.8% | 36.4% | -3.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.36 | 28.0% | 26.2% | -1.8 pts |
| Away | 2.92 | 32.2% | 37.4% | 5.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–19%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
Vissel Kobe
Probability
37.4%
Model confidence
37.4%
Vissel Kobe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 17 · GA 10 · avg 3.40/2.00
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60