GGOALVIO

Japan · J1 League · 8/21/2026, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kashiwa Reysol · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Kashiwa Reysol are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while V-varen Nagasaki are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 80.3 against 80.3. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.1% in the J1 League, while Kashiwa Reysol holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Kashiwa Reysol

Probability

41.1%

Model confidence

13.1%

Kashiwa Reysol has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Kashiwa ReysolWDLWW

GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
V-varen NagasakiWLLWW

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Kashiwa ReysolV-varen Nagasaki
66.7Attack66.7
66.7Defence66.7
100.0Form100.0
80.3Power80.3
1.51xG1.28
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