GGOALVIO

World · AFC Champions League Elite · 10/14/2026, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kashiwa Reysol · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Kashiwa Reysol 5-1 Port FC

Original prediction

Kashiwa Reysol

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:33 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.1581.2%49.7%-31.5 pts
Draw8.1211.5%23.5%12.1 pts
Away12.727.3%26.8%19.5 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.14 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-31.5 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–112%
  2. 2.2–19%
  3. 3.1–28%

Predicted outcome

Kashiwa Reysol

Probability

49.7%

Model confidence

49.7%

Kashiwa Reysol has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Kashiwa ReysolWWWWL

GF 18 · GA 10 · avg 3.60/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Port FCWLLLW

GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Kashiwa ReysolPort FC
33.3Attack33.3
33.3Defence33.3
0.0Form0.0
23.7Power23.7
1.62xG1.38
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