Kashiwa Reysolvs
Nagoya Grampus
COMPLETEDJapan · J1 League · 10/17/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kashiwa Reysol · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (10%), 3-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kashiwa Reysol 1-3 Nagoya Grampus
Original prediction
Kashiwa Reysol
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 01:42 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.64 | 57.1% | 71.1% | 14.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.12 | 22.7% | 16.3% | -6.4 pts |
| Away | 4.64 | 20.2% | 12.6% | -7.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
14.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–010%
- 2.3–010%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Kashiwa Reysol
Probability
71.1%
Model confidence
71.1%
Kashiwa Reysol has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 22 · GA 9 · avg 4.40/1.80
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60