GGOALVIO

Japan · J1 League · 5/10/2026, 7:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kashiwa Reysol · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Kashiwa Reysol are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Kawasaki Frontale are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Kashiwa Reysol hold a 38.2-point power-rating edge (86.5 v 48.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.7% in the J1 League, while Kashiwa Reysol holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Kashiwa Reysol

Probability

55.0%

Model confidence

11.7%

Kashiwa Reysol has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Kashiwa ReysolLLLLL

GF 1 · GA 8 · avg 0.20/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Kawasaki FrontaleWLLWW

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Kashiwa ReysolKawasaki Frontale
83.3Attack50.0
66.7Defence50.0
100.0Form33.3
86.5Power48.3
1.88xG1.06
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