GGOALVIO

Japan · J-League Cup · 3/8/2023, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Kashiwa Reysol are 0W-2D-1L in their last 3 (LDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.33 conceded, while Kashima are 2W-0D-1L in their last 3 (WLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 6 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Kashima hold a 12.2-point power-rating edge (40.0 v 52.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.4% in the J-League Cup, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

36.4%

Model confidence

36.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Kashiwa ReysolLDD

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/1.33

BTTS 2/3O2.5 1/3
KashimaWLW

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 2/3O2.5 2/3
Kashiwa ReysolKashima
38.9Attack33.3
44.4Defence70.8
27.8Form45.8
40.0Power52.3
0.89xG1.11
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