GGOALVIO

Japan · J1 League · 4/24/2026, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kashiwa Reysol · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Kashiwa Reysol are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Kashima are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Kashiwa Reysol hold a 3.2-point power-rating edge (86.5 v 83.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.4% in the J1 League, while Kashiwa Reysol holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Kashiwa Reysol

Probability

45.4%

Model confidence

45.4%

Kashiwa Reysol has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Kashiwa ReysolLLWWD

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
KashimaWWDWW

GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Kashiwa ReysolKashima
83.3Attack100.0
66.7Defence33.3
100.0Form100.0
86.5Power83.3
1.81xG1.32
View match centre →