Kashimavs
Ventforet Kofu
COMPLETEDJapan · Emperor Cup · 9/23/2026, 8:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kashima · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kashima 3-1 Ventforet Kofu
Original prediction
Kashima
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 19 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.27 | 71.6% | 54.7% | -16.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.87 | 18.7% | 23.5% | 4.8 pts |
| Away | 9.36 | 9.7% | 21.8% | 12.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.27 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-16.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Kashima
Probability
54.7%
Model confidence
54.7%
Kashima has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 11 · avg 2.60/2.20
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40