Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kashima · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 3-1 (7%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kashima 0-1 Urawa
Original prediction
Kashima
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:23 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.82 | 51.3% | 52.2% | 0.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.60 | 25.9% | 22.3% | -3.6 pts |
| Away | 4.09 | 22.8% | 25.5% | 2.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–18%
- 2.3–17%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Kashima
Probability
52.2%
Model confidence
52.2%
Kashima has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
KashimaLWWWW
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
UrawaWWWLL
GF 11 · GA 11 · avg 2.20/2.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
KashimaUrawa
86.7Attack73.3
33.3Defence0.0
80.0Form40.0
69.3Power41.1
2.76xG1.73