Kashimavs
Newcastle Jets
COMPLETEDWorld · AFC Champions League Elite · 9/15/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kashima · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kashima 7-1 Newcastle Jets
Original prediction
Kashima
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 1 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.28 | 72.6% | 47.1% | -25.5 pts |
| Draw | 5.58 | 16.6% | 25.2% | 8.6 pts |
| Away | 8.62 | 10.8% | 27.7% | 16.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.28 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-25.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Kashima
Probability
47.1%
Model confidence
47.1%
Kashima has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 17 · GA 6 · avg 3.40/1.20