GGOALVIO

Japan · J1 League · 5/6/2026, 7:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kashima · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Kashima are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Mito Hollyhock are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDLWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Kashima hold a 46.8-point power-rating edge (83.3 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.5% in the J1 League, while Kashima holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Kashima

Probability

54.5%

Model confidence

11.5%

Kashima has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

KashimaDLWWW

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Mito HollyhockDDLWD

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
KashimaMito Hollyhock
100.0Attack33.3
33.3Defence50.0
100.0Form16.7
83.3Power36.5
1.92xG1.11
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