Kashimavs
Mito Hollyhock
COMPLETEDJapan · J1 League · 5/6/2026, 7:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kashima · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Kashima are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Mito Hollyhock are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDLWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Kashima hold a 46.8-point power-rating edge (83.3 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.5% in the J1 League, while Kashima holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Kashima
Probability
54.5%
Model confidence
11.5%
Kashima has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80