GGOALVIO

Japan · J1 League · 5/3/2026, 7:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Machida Zelvia · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Kashima are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Machida Zelvia are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Machida Zelvia hold a 12.5-point power-rating edge (83.3 v 95.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.0% in the J1 League, while Machida Zelvia holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Machida Zelvia

Probability

37.0%

Model confidence

37.0%

Machida Zelvia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

KashimaLWWWD

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Machida ZelviaDLWWW

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
KashimaMachida Zelvia
100.0Attack100.0
33.3Defence83.3
100.0Form100.0
83.3Power95.8
1.48xG1.57
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