Kashimavs
Machida Zelvia
COMPLETEDJapan · J1 League · 5/3/2026, 7:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Machida Zelvia · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Kashima are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Machida Zelvia are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Machida Zelvia hold a 12.5-point power-rating edge (83.3 v 95.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.0% in the J1 League, while Machida Zelvia holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Machida Zelvia
Probability
37.0%
Model confidence
37.0%
Machida Zelvia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60