Kashimavs
Kashiwa Reysol
COMPLETEDJapan · J1 League · 10/24/2026, 6:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kashima · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (8%), 2-1 (8%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kashima 2-3 Kashiwa Reysol
Original prediction
Kashima
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:42 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.27 | 41.4% | 44.7% | 3.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.51 | 26.7% | 20.6% | -6.1 pts |
| Away | 2.94 | 31.9% | 34.7% | 2.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–28%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
Kashima
Probability
44.7%
Model confidence
44.7%
Kashima has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
KashimaDWWWW
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Kashiwa ReysolDLWWW
GF 15 · GA 10 · avg 3.00/2.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
KashimaKashiwa Reysol
69.7Attack66.7
45.5Defence48.5
60.6Form66.7
60.4Power62.2
2.29xG2.01