GGOALVIO

Japan · J1 League · 2/21/2026, 7:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kashima · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Kashima are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Kashiwa Reysol are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Kashiwa Reysol hold a 3.2-point power-rating edge (83.3 v 86.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.5% in the J1 League, while Kashima holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Kashima

Probability

35.5%

Model confidence

35.5%

Kashima has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

KashimaWDDWW

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Kashiwa ReysolLLWWW

GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
KashimaKashiwa Reysol
100.0Attack83.3
33.3Defence66.7
100.0Form100.0
83.3Power86.5
1.55xG1.54
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