Kashimavs
JEF United Chiba
COMPLETEDJapan · J1 League · 3/22/2026, 6:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kashima · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Kashima are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.40 conceded, while JEF United Chiba are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Kashima hold a 74.3-point power-rating edge (83.3 v 9.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.7% in the J1 League, while Kashima holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Kashima
Probability
59.7%
Model confidence
59.7%
Kashima has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 2 · avg 2.20/0.40
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60