Kashimavs
Gamba Osaka
COMPLETEDJapan · J1 League · 10/9/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kashima · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (8%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kashima 2-0 Gamba Osaka
Original prediction
Kashima
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 01:42 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.74 | 53.9% | 61.2% | 7.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.90 | 24.1% | 19.9% | -4.1 pts |
| Away | 4.27 | 22.0% | 18.9% | -3.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.74 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Kashima
Probability
61.2%
Model confidence
61.2%
Kashima has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
KashimaWDWLL
GF 14 · GA 8 · avg 2.80/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Gamba OsakaLWLWL
GF 13 · GA 9 · avg 2.60/1.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
KashimaGamba Osaka
70.8Attack33.3
33.3Defence41.7
54.2Form25.0
55.2Power36.6
2.53xG1.17