GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 1/20/2026, 2:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kashima · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Kashima are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Fagiano Okayama are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Kashima hold a 9.2-point power-rating edge (37.5 v 28.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.1% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Kashima holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Kashima

Probability

45.1%

Model confidence

45.1%

Kashima has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

KashimaWWWDD

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Fagiano OkayamaWLDLL

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
KashimaFagiano Okayama
33.3Attack22.2
16.7Defence33.3
50.0Form16.7
37.5Power28.3
2.08xG1.24
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