Kasetsart FCvs
Satun
COMPLETEDThailand · Thai League 2 · 10/24/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Satun · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 0-2 (10%), 1-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kasetsart FC 1-3 Satun
Original prediction
Satun
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:31 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.83 | 32.0% | 28.0% | -3.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.31 | 27.3% | 27.6% | 0.2 pts |
| Away | 2.22 | 40.7% | 44.4% | 3.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.22 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.0–210%
- 3.1–210%
Predicted outcome
Satun
Probability
44.4%
Model confidence
44.4%
Satun has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Kasetsart FCLLWLD
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
SatunDDWLW
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Kasetsart FCSatun
28.6Attack61.9
33.3Defence52.4
19.0Form52.4
30.2Power56.3
0.97xG2.08