Kasetsart FCvs
Nakhon Pathom
COMPLETEDThailand · Thai League 2 · 9/20/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nakhon Pathom · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kasetsart FC 0-0 Nakhon Pathom
Original prediction
Nakhon Pathom
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.62 | 34.3% | 31.5% | -2.8 pts |
| Draw | 2.81 | 32.0% | 29.1% | -3.0 pts |
| Away | 2.67 | 33.7% | 39.4% | 5.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.81 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Nakhon Pathom
Probability
39.4%
Model confidence
39.4%
Nakhon Pathom has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20