Kasetsart FCvs
Mahasarakham United
COMPLETEDThailand · Thai League 2 · 10/14/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (11%), 1-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kasetsart FC 3-1 Mahasarakham United
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 17:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.52 | 35.8% | 35.6% | -0.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.14 | 28.7% | 30.0% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 2.55 | 35.5% | 34.4% | -1.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–011%
- 3.1–010%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
30.0%
Model confidence
35.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 0 · GA 8 · avg 0.00/1.60
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80