Kasetsart FCvs
Chanthaburi
COMPLETEDThailand · FA Cup · 10/21/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chanthaburi · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kasetsart FC 1-3 Chanthaburi
Original prediction
Chanthaburi
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 9 October 2026 at 17:19 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.73 | 24.2% | 35.4% | 11.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.25 | 27.7% | 27.5% | -0.3 pts |
| Away | 1.88 | 48.1% | 37.1% | -10.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.88 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Chanthaburi
Probability
37.1%
Model confidence
37.1%
Chanthaburi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80