Karvinávs
Stal Rzeszów
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 10/2/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Karviná · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (11%), 3-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Karviná 1-1 Stal Rzeszów
Original prediction
Karviná
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 10:45 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.74 | 52.4% | 54.7% | 2.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.05 | 22.5% | 23.3% | 0.8 pts |
| Away | 3.62 | 25.1% | 22.0% | -3.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.05 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–011%
- 2.3–010%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Karviná
Probability
54.7%
Model confidence
54.7%
Karviná has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60