GGOALVIO

Czech-Republic · Czech Liga · 8/5/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Mlada Boleslav · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Karviná are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Mlada Boleslav are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLD), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Mlada Boleslav hold a 35.0-point power-rating edge (40.3 v 75.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.2% in the Czech Liga, while Mlada Boleslav holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Mlada Boleslav

Probability

56.2%

Model confidence

56.2%

Mlada Boleslav has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

KarvináLWLDW

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Mlada BoleslavDWWLD

GF 12 · GA 10 · avg 2.40/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
KarvináMlada Boleslav
36.0Attack88.9
44.1Defence55.6
34.2Form77.8
40.3Power75.3
0.98xG1.96
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