Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Karviná · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Karviná 2-0 Kladno
Original prediction
Karviná
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.35 | 66.9% | 54.4% | -12.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.63 | 19.5% | 23.4% | 3.9 pts |
| Away | 6.66 | 13.6% | 22.2% | 8.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.35 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-12.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Karviná
Probability
54.4%
Model confidence
54.4%
Karviná has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
KarvináLDWWW
GF 14 · GA 5 · avg 2.80/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
KladnoWWLDW
GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
KarvináKladno
66.7Attack44.4
61.1Defence61.1
66.7Form44.4
64.9Power51.0
1.71xG1.03