Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Karviná · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (13%), 3-0 (12%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Karviná 3-2 Hanácká
Original prediction
Karviná
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.29 | 70.6% | 75.3% | 4.7 pts |
| Draw | 5.24 | 17.3% | 15.0% | -2.3 pts |
| Away | 7.51 | 12.1% | 9.7% | -2.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.29 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–013%
- 2.3–012%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Karviná
Probability
75.3%
Model confidence
75.3%
Karviná has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
KarvináLWLDW
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
HanáckáDDWLL
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
KarvináHanácká
66.7Attack25.0
58.3Defence33.3
62.5Form25.0
62.7Power31.3
2.81xG0.67