Karvinávs
Dukla Praha
COMPLETEDCzech-Republic · FNL · 10/16/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Karviná · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 2-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Karviná 3-0 Dukla Praha
Original prediction
Karviná
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 20:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.85 | 49.2% | 43.1% | -6.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.57 | 25.4% | 27.2% | 1.8 pts |
| Away | 3.57 | 25.4% | 29.6% | 4.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.85 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Karviná
Probability
43.1%
Model confidence
43.1%
Karviná has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
KarvináWDWLW
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Dukla PrahaWLDWW
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
KarvináDukla Praha
66.7Attack70.0
60.0Defence50.0
70.0Form66.7
66.5Power63.7
2.16xG1.52