Karviná IIvs
Zlín II
COMPLETEDCzech-Republic · 3. liga - MSFL · 10/4/2026, 8:15:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Karviná II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Karviná II 0-1 Zlín II
Original prediction
Karviná II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:31 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.17 | 41.5% | 40.6% | -0.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.66 | 24.6% | 25.7% | 1.1 pts |
| Away | 2.66 | 33.9% | 33.7% | -0.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Karviná II
Probability
40.6%
Model confidence
40.6%
Karviná II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40