Karviná IIvs
Líšeň II
COMPLETEDCzech-Republic · 3. liga - MSFL · 9/25/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Líšeň II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Karviná II 2-2 Líšeň II
Original prediction
Líšeň II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:31 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.52 | 16.2% | 26.7% | 10.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.59 | 19.5% | 24.7% | 5.2 pts |
| Away | 1.39 | 64.3% | 48.6% | -15.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.59 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-15.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–27%
Predicted outcome
Líšeň II
Probability
48.6%
Model confidence
48.6%
Líšeň II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40
GF 12 · GA 1 · avg 2.40/0.20