Karviná IIvs
Hranice
COMPLETEDCzech-Republic · 3. liga - MSFL · 10/25/2026, 9:15:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hranice · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (12%), 0-2 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Karviná II 2-0 Hranice
Original prediction
Hranice
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 22:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.06 | 43.6% | 32.0% | -11.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.51 | 25.6% | 28.2% | 2.6 pts |
| Away | 2.92 | 30.8% | 39.8% | 9.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.0–112%
- 3.0–211%
Predicted outcome
Hranice
Probability
39.8%
Model confidence
39.8%
Hranice has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80