Karviná IIvs
Hodonín
COMPLETEDCzech-Republic · 3. liga - MSFL · 9/6/2026, 8:15:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hodonín · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Karviná II 1-0 Hodonín
Original prediction
Hodonín
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:23 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.13 | 28.7% | 29.6% | 0.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.57 | 25.2% | 26.5% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 1.95 | 46.1% | 43.9% | -2.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–28%
Predicted outcome
Hodonín
Probability
43.9%
Model confidence
43.9%
Hodonín has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20