Karviná IIvs
Frýdek-Místek
COMPLETEDCzech-Republic · 3. liga - MSFL · 9/2/2026, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Karviná II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (9%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Karviná II 0-3 Frýdek-Místek
Original prediction
Karviná II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.35 | 26.8% | 44.2% | 17.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.54 | 25.3% | 25.0% | -0.3 pts |
| Away | 1.88 | 47.9% | 30.8% | -17.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
17.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Karviná II
Probability
44.2%
Model confidence
44.2%
Karviná II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00