Karviná IIvs
Blansko
COMPLETEDCzech-Republic · 3. liga - MSFL · 9/20/2026, 8:15:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Karviná II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Karviná II 3-5 Blansko
Original prediction
Karviná II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.74 | 51.5% | 37.9% | -13.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.73 | 24.1% | 26.6% | 2.5 pts |
| Away | 3.68 | 24.4% | 35.4% | 11.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-13.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Karviná II
Probability
37.9%
Model confidence
37.9%
Karviná II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
GF 2 · GA 12 · avg 0.40/2.40