Karvanvs
Difai Ağsu
COMPLETEDAzerbaijan · Birinci Dasta · 9/29/2023, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Karvan · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Karvan are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (DW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.50 conceded, while Difai Ağsu are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (DL), averaging 0.00 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 4 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Karvan hold a 15.1-point power-rating edge (54.1 v 39.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.4% in the Birinci Dasta, while Karvan holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Karvan
Probability
54.4%
Model confidence
54.4%
Karvan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/0.50
GF 0 · GA 3 · avg 0.00/1.50