GGOALVIO

Turkey · 3. Lig - Group 1 · 9/27/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kartal Bulvarspor · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (11%), 2-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Kartal Bulvarspor 1-0 Silivrispor

Original prediction

Kartal Bulvarspor

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.6334.1%46.0%11.9 pts
Draw3.1428.6%26.5%-2.1 pts
Away2.4037.3%27.5%-9.8 pts

Historical EV

1X2 1.63 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

11.9 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–112%
  2. 2.1–011%
  3. 3.2–011%

Predicted outcome

Kartal Bulvarspor

Probability

46.0%

Model confidence

46.0%

Kartal Bulvarspor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Kartal BulvarsporDWLWL

GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
SilivrisporLLWWL

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Kartal BulvarsporSilivrispor
77.8Attack22.2
55.6Defence44.4
44.4Form33.3
56.8Power37.2
1.80xG0.94
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