GGOALVIO

Turkey · 3. Lig - Group 1 · 10/11/2026, 12:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kartal Bulvarspor · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Kartal Bulvarspor 2-2 Orduspor 1967

Original prediction

Kartal Bulvarspor

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 27 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.3138.9%41.0%2.1 pts
Draw3.2627.5%28.7%1.2 pts
Away2.6733.6%30.3%-3.3 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.26 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

2.1 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–113%
  2. 2.1–010%
  3. 3.2–110%

Predicted outcome

Kartal Bulvarspor

Probability

41.0%

Model confidence

41.0%

Kartal Bulvarspor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Kartal BulvarsporLWWDW

GF 14 · GA 8 · avg 2.80/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Orduspor 1967WLWWW

GF 18 · GA 4 · avg 3.60/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
Kartal BulvarsporOrduspor 1967
80.0Attack46.7
60.0Defence60.0
66.7Form53.3
68.2Power54.1
1.69xG1.02
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