Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Karsiyaka · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (9%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Karsiyaka 2-1 Söke 1970
Original prediction
Karsiyaka
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 October 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.80 | 49.6% | 41.1% | -8.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.50 | 25.5% | 27.9% | 2.4 pts |
| Away | 3.60 | 24.8% | 31.0% | 6.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.80 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–09%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Karsiyaka
Probability
41.1%
Model confidence
41.1%
Karsiyaka has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
KarsiyakaDWWWL
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Söke 1970DLLDD
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
KarsiyakaSöke 1970
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
1.43xG1.22