Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Thursday, 2 July 2026Last updated 10:10
Karpaty

Karpaty

Home
DLWD
11
Full time
Yarud Mariupol'

Yarud Mariupol'

Away
D
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Karpaty35%
Yarud Mariupol'34%
Draw31%
Most likely exact score1-0
Prediction missed— Result: Draw
Win probability
Karpaty
35%
Draw
31%
Yarud Mariupol'
34%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Karpaty
25
Yarud Mariupol'
34
Defence
Karpaty
75
Yarud Mariupol'
66
Momentum
Karpaty
42
Yarud Mariupol'
33
Danger (xG)
Karpaty
0.68
Yarud Mariupol'
0.90
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Karpaty)
0.68
avg per match
xG for (Yarud Mariupol')
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Karpaty)
0.68
avg per match
xG against (Yarud Mariupol')
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
KarpatyKarpaty
DLWDW
Yarud Mariupol'Yarud Mariupol'
DDD

Probability breakdown

35% confidence
Karpaty35%
Draw31%
Yarud Mariupol'34%

Karpaty leads with 35% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Karpaty head into this in Friendlies Clubs fixture in mixed form (DLWD), while Yarud Mariupol' arrive in mixed form (D). Karpaty have a 25% win rate across their last 4 matches, compared to 0% for Yarud Mariupol' over 1 games.

Both sides are defensively strong — Karpaty (75/100) and Yarud Mariupol' (66/100) are both rated highly at the back. The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair with defences on top.

Karpaty have won 2 of their last 3 home fixtures, averaging 1.7 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game at home. Yarud Mariupol' have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 2 away matches. They average 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.

The last 1 meetings between these sides have been evenly split, with 1 draw, averaging 2.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects Karpaty to win with 35% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Karpaty 3540%, Draw 3090%, Yarud Mariupol' 3370%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

Karpaty 0Draws 10 Yarud Mariupol'
Avg goals: 2.0BTTS in 1/1
2 Jul 2026
Karpaty
D11
Yarud Mariupol'

Recent form

Karpaty

Karpaty

D
@ NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
17 Jul 2026
00
L
@ CFR 1907 Cluj
9 Jul 2026
01
W
vs Nyva Ternopil
3 Jul 2026
21
D
vs Yarud Mariupol'
2 Jul 2026
11
W
vs Veres Rivne
17 May 2026
20
Yarud Mariupol'

Yarud Mariupol'

D
@ Karpaty
2 Jul 2026
11
D
@ Veres Rivne
27 Jun 2026
11
D
vs Probiy Horodenka
17 May 2026
00

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Karpaty vs Yarud Mariupol'?

GoalVio's model predicts Karpaty to win with 35% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Karpaty vs Yarud Mariupol'?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Karpaty vs Yarud Mariupol'?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Karpaty vs Yarud Mariupol'?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more