Karpatyvs
Veres Rivne
COMPLETEDUkraine · Premier League · 9/20/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Karpaty · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Karpaty 1-1 Veres Rivne
Original prediction
Karpaty
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.40 | 65.5% | 46.4% | -19.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.25 | 21.6% | 27.2% | 5.6 pts |
| Away | 7.12 | 12.9% | 26.4% | 13.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.25 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-19.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Karpaty
Probability
46.4%
Model confidence
46.4%
Karpaty has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40