GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Cup · 8/22/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Obolon'-Brovar · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Karpaty are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Obolon'-Brovar are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Obolon'-Brovar hold a 31.4-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 55.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.4% in the Cup, while Obolon'-Brovar holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Obolon'-Brovar

Probability

36.5%

Model confidence

14.4%

Obolon'-Brovar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

KarpatyWLWDL

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Obolon'-BrovarDLWLD

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
KarpatyObolon'-Brovar
33.3Attack22.2
33.3Defence66.7
0.0Form66.7
23.7Power55.1
1.15xG1.23
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